The recent Turkish coup attempt marks a turning point in NATO’s war on Syria. An emerging empire and portal to the orient, Turkey has always played a key role in NATO’s ‘Drang Nach Osten’- the drive to encircle Russia, destroy its client-states Syria and Ukraine, and serve as a bulwark against other emerging powers such as Iran. But now it seems Turkey may no longer be carrying out its designated role.
Turkey’s New Role: From NATO Lapdog to Emerging Empire?
That the United States was behind the coup attempt there is little doubt, though some prominent analysts such as Thierry Meyssan disagree that
the coup was orchestrated by Gülenists. Fethullah Gülen is known to be
close to the CIA and the U.S. obmutescence during the coup was typical
of standard procedure during U.S. covert regime change operations. While
Erdoğan is unquestionably a war criminal who is responsible for the
deaths of hundreds of thousands of innocents in Syria and Libya and
heavy repression at home, nonetheless, as in the case of former Iraqi
president Saddam Hussein, the Turkish leader seems to have fallen out of
favour in the West.
The media have already begun the predictable, clichéd demonisation
process – publishing pictures of the Turkish incumbent’s opulent
palaces etc. Turkey desperately needs a new, progressive regime, which
would contribute to peace in the Middle East. But if the choice is
between a monster the CIA wants out and a monster the CIA wants in, the
latter is the best option as it weakens U.S. imperialism.
Turkey’s strategic imperatives
Stratfor director George Friedman claims Turkey is now a world power
whose military is more powerful than the French or British. The U.S.
strategy for Europe was to force Turkish entry into the EU – most
recently through weapons of mass migration. The policy worked in
Turkey’s favour. But the British decision to exit the European Union
changed the balance of power. Moscow took the opportunity to extend the
hand of friendship once more to Ankara. Just before the July 19th coup
attempt, there were reports of a possible détente between Turkey and Syria.
U.S./Turkish relations have soured considerably since 2013 when
U.S.-based billionaire Fethullah Gülen fomented the Gezi Park protest
movement against the Recep Tayyip Erdoğan regime. Though there was
certainly popular discontent in the country with Erdoğan’s Islamisation
policies and his support for terrorism in Syria, the Gezi Park protests
were really about pushing Gülen’s attempt to destabilise the regime and
take over. Fethullah Gülen is the founder of a vast empire of private
prep schools throughout the world. He promotes an extremist form of
Islam.
Though originally close to Erdoğan’s Justice and Development Party
(AKP), Gülen’s movement Hizmat (service) is less nationalist and
therefore more amenable to U.S./Zionist interests. The Gülenist network
operates as a fifth column in Turkey, a para-state operating at the
highest levels of the military, intelligence and judicial apparatuses. I
was asked by Russian state media RT to comment on the Turkish shooting down of a Russian jet in
November 2015. I said then that the Turkish government was acting
against the national interest. It has since transpired that the attack
was carried out by Gülenist military personnel who have been prosecuted
for the crime. President Erdoğan recently apologised to Russian
President Vladimir Putin for the attack. In fact, Turkey had indicated on July 13ththat
it intended to normalise relations with Syria, thus ending the war
against Assad. Contacts between Ankara and Damascus have been growing
in recent months and it now looks like Russia and Turkey may have begun
to mend relations. Southstream, Russia’s plan to pipe oil to Europe
through Turkey, had to be abandoned last year due to U.S. pressure on
Ankara. There is now a possibility of renegotiation recommencing between
Moscow and Ankara. Recent Turkish/Iranian contacts also indicate that
the Kurdish question is forcing Ankara to re-calibrate its foreign
policy.
Although secret talks have reportedly been taking place between
Ankara and Damascus, the two countries remain at war in Syria and there
is no change yet in the official position of either state.
The geopolitical theories of Greek turkologist Dmitiry Kitsikis have
had a major influence on Turkish foreign policy. Kitsikis is famous for
promoting the notion of Turkey as a civilisation-state which naturally
encompasses the region stretching from North Africa, through the Balkans
and Eastern Europe; Kitsikis refers to this as the ‘Intermediate
Region’. Turkey’s previous ‘good neighbourly’ policy seemed to be in
accordance with Kitsikian geopolitics but was sabotaged by Ankara’s
treacherous collaboration with U.S. chaos strategy in the Middle East
since the U.S.- fomented ‘Arab Spring’ in 2011.
U.S. policy towards Turkey has always been to support the regime as a
strong regional power to wield against Russia while at the same time
supporting the Kurdish YPG (people’s defense units) in Syria. U.S.
support for the Kurds is part of the long-term geopolitical remodeling
of the region – the creation of what former U.S. Secretary of State
Condoleeza Rice at the start of the ‘Arab Spring’ uprisings in 2011
referred to as the “New Middle East”. The U.S. and Israel want to carve
out a Kurdistan in the region, which would become a client-state of
Israel; thus providing the Zionist regime with an effective proxy army
against its Arab enemies – once the Da’esh-fomented genocide has
created the requisite Lebensraum.
Erdoğan’s ambitions of reviving the Ottoman Empire in the Middle East
ultimately threaten U.S. hegemony. The United States Navy rules the
waves. The U.S. will not allow another major maritime power to threaten
its global control. Rapid economic growth and the paying off of its IMF debt in
2013 have seen Turkey emerge more and more as a strategic regional
power with increasing independence and political assertiveness. Turkish
investment in Africa has increased more than ten-fold since 2000. The
Turks have opened embassies all over Africa. Ankara is selling the
notion of ‘virtuous power’ in Africa with infrastructural development
projects and investments designed to compete with China and the United
States. Turkish involvement in Somalia has turned the East African
nation into a veritable client-state of the emerging Turkish Empire. In
2015 Turkey opened a military base in Somalia.
Turkey will henceforth have a strategic reach in the Gulf of Aden, one
of the most important oil choke-points in the world. Ankara also has
plans to establish military bases in Azerbaijan, Qatar and Georgia.
The Turkish regime has been attempting to oust the presence of the
Gülenist movement in many African countries by offering to supply state
funds for education programmes. A recent statement by a Turkish
government spokesman alluded to Ankara’s desire to counter Western
‘neo-colonial’ interests in Africa. The statement clearly shows that Turkey intends to join the new ‘scramble for Africa’ as part of neo-ottoman imperialism.
Turkey in Central Asia and China
Turkey has considerable power and influence in Central Asia where
many Turkic-speaking people reside. In 2009, Turkey helped found the
Cooperation Council of Turkic Speaking States. Turkish investment has
been increasing in Central Asia. Ankara has also been training military
personnel in Central Asian states. The oil-rich Turkmenistan is one
nation which has received visits in recent years from the ‘Sublime
Porte’. During its spat with Moscow, Ankara sought to deepen ties with
Turkmenistan in hopes of enticing that state to participate in the
Trans-Caspian Pipeline – a project to pipe gas from the Caspian Sea
through Turkmenistan, Azerbaijan and Turkey to Europe, thereby bypassing
Russia. Turkey also has considerable influence in Turkic speaking
regions of the Russian Federation such as Tartarstan. Though relations
with Moscow have now improved, Ankara’s links in Central Asia remain key
strategic levers in the renaissance of Turkish imperialism.
Turkey’s links with Uighur terrorists in China’s troubled Xinjiang
(East Turkestan) province has led to diplomatic rows with Beijing. Many
of the Uighur terrorists operating against China have been trained and
facilitated by Turkey in Syria. Although Turkey’s support for Uighur
terrorists in Xinjiang complies with NATO policy towards China, it shows
once again the potential reach of Turkish power.
Turkey’s drive for world power status, together with the decline of
Europe as a political entity, means that Ankara will continue to flex
its muscles in the international arena. The French Foreign Minister
Jean-Marc Ayrault has said that Turkey is no longer a reliable partner
in NATO’s fight against the Islamic State. Of course, Ankara was never a
partner in the war against the Islamic State as the Turkish regime has
been arming and training the Islamic State terrorists along with its
NATO partners and has been caught in flagrante delicto on
several occasions. But what the French Foreign Minister’s remarks mean
is that Turkey may no longer be as sanguine in its support for terrorism
in Syria, due to the West’s support for the Kurds; rapprochement with Moscow and Damascus, and now more than ever after the failed U.S.-backed coup attempt.
Israel’s double game
The situation is further complicated by Israel’s stance towards the
Turkish coup attempt and its aftermath. The Turkish regime thanked
Israel for its help quashing the coup. Relations between Tel Aviv and
Ankara have improved, in spite of the current dispute with Washington.
One should not overlook the fact that, although the Israeli Lobby exerts
considerable control over U.S. foreign policy, Israel often adopts a
friendlier attitude to many of America’s so-called enemies. Israel’s
relationship with Belarus has always been generally good, in spite of
repeated U.S. aggression. Israel’s relationship with Azerbaijan has
been good, in spite of major diplomatic rows with the U.S..
Israeli/Russian relations are far better than Moscow’s relationship
with Washington. Israel has always had a more nuanced oriental policy
than the U.S. The Israelis are masters at playing both sides off each
other in international conflicts. During the Iran/Iraq war of the 1980s,
the U.S. supported Saddam Hussein’s regime while Israel eventually
provided Israel covert supplies of weapons to Iran with on U.S.
approval. The Israelis had established ties with Iranian fifth
columnists Mir-Hossein Moussavi and Hachemi Rafsanjani. The
aforementioned Stratfor director George Friedman has said that the
Iran/Iraq war would be a template for dealing with the rise of Turkey as
a world power.
A rising maritime power in trouble?
Turkey will pay dearly for the folly of abandoning its ‘good
neighbourly’ regional policy, which showed some promise until 2011. It
had a glorious opportunity then to exercise ‘virtuous power’. Now the
country could be facing civil war. The purge of Gülenists in the Turkish
regime has already led to hundreds of arrests of top military and
government personnel. If Turkey is to emerge as a regional empire, it
will have to leave the Zionist axis and find a solution to the Kurdish
question in conjunction with Syria and Russia. It is currently beginning
to appear that previous secret plans agreed upon by Ankara and Paris
to carve out a Kurdish state in Northern Syria may have to be abandoned.
As the French escalate bombing of Raqqa in Syria in the wake of the
Nice terrorist psyops, Turkey could be facing an acute state of
emergency.
The United States cannot tolerate the emergence of a major maritime
power like Turkey which, since the Cold War, has been used as a tool
against Russia. Turkey’s Incirlik Airbase holds up to 80 percent of
Washington’s nuclear arsenal in Europe. A significant oriental shift in
Ankara’s foreign policy would signal the end of America’s prospects of
‘full spectrum dominance’, creating the conditions for a new imperial
division of the world- a geopolitical reconfiguration some might imagine
as falling in with conjectures of a Moscow/Constantinople axis or, in
mytho-historical terms, a ‘Third Rome’.
It is possible that the U.S. already sees that a reconfiguration of
imperialist alliances is necessary with the influential former U.S.
National Security Advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski advocating a détente in
U.S. relations with Russia and China. What is clear from recent events
in Turkey is that the world imperialist system is going through seismic
changes, with old military alliances breaking down and new
configurations of imperial power emerging. What prospect exist for
global,working-class liberation in a period of deepening capitalist
crisis and war remain to be seen.
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