2018 spelled some dramatic changes in political landscapes all
around the world. We take a look at the events that will shape
international politics for years.
The outgoing year has made
the world much more turbulent, with a major conflict brewing in the
Middle East, a radical change of government in one of world's largest
democracies, and a change of guard in the European leadership. On the
bright side, there was no war in Korea.
Brexit anxiety
On the other side of the Atlantic, the UK this
year tried to get favorable divorce terms from Brussels, but the shark
lawyers on the continent prove to be faster, smarter and meaner. PM
Theresa May finally decided not to test the Brexit deal in a vote at
home this year, and the potential of a no-deal break-up seems all too
realistic.
The cabinet has been stumbling between counting
resignation letters and fending off no-confidence votes by reassuring
the public that thousands of soldiers were ready to keep Britain from
becoming a post-Apocalyptic nightmare. Keep calm and blame Russia, as
they say.
'Saudi reformist' turns 'Mr. Bone Saw'
Mohammad
bin Salman, the crown prince of Saudi Arabia, went on a charm offensive
in the West this year, having consolidated his power at home in 2017.
The smiling royal came with driving licenses for women and domestic
tickets for 'The Emoji Movie' in his right hand, and multibillion dollar
arms contracts in his left. Paid lobbyists and wine-and-dined
journalists marched in lockstep, and the few anti-war protesters failed
to rain on the parade.
Then came the murder of Jamal Khashoggi, with all its denials,
cover-ups and leaked grisly details. The acronym MBS, as the crown
prince is often referred to, was mockingly deciphered as “Mister Bone
Saw” by critics. And that was such a bummer for so many people. How do
you tell your voters that your government respects liberal values and
still sell arms to a Mister Bone Saw? How do you make readers forget you
wrote all those sweet things about the reformist prince, who likely
ordered a fellow columnist slaughtered? Well, maybe some good will come
out of it if the outrage brings about an end to the bloodbath in Yemen.
Nuclear treaty termination
Moscow's fears of NATO military
encroachment were fueled by Washington after an announcement that the US
was going to withdraw from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty
(INF). Of the three cornerstone nuclear deals between the US and
Russia, one – the anti-ballistic missile (ABM) treaty – was scrapped by
George W Bush. INF seems almost certain to follow suit next year. Some
officials in the US are talking about pulling out of New START too.
Moscow's response to the looming new arms race is making its nukes
invulnerable.
The Skripal affair
The West has doubled down on portraying
the Kremlin as the secret mastermind behind everything bad happening to
them. Mass protests hit France? Russia is definitely behind it! As the
State Department spokeswoman soon to represent the US at the United
Nations once put it, “Russia has long arms and lots of tentacles.”
The most bizarre case for Russia being bad came this year from
Britain, where according to London, a couple of Russian secret agents
tried to assassinate a turncoat with a nerve poison, which failed to
kill him despite being ‘military-grade.’ Diplomatic relations between
Moscow and London are now reduced to No. 10 shouting "you're guilty”
and Kremlin residing in perpetual confusion and denial. The scandal
also gave us RT’s most talked about interview of the decade.
Korea's Olympic truce and beyond
In
2017, the world was bracing for a new shooting war in the Korean
Peninsula – an event that would likely cause tens of thousands of
civilian casualties in the first few days alone and possibly would see
the use of nuclear weapons for the first time since World War II. But
this didn't happen.
Instead, South Korea hosted the Winter Olympic
Games, with a Northern delegation present and wowing the world with
their highly-coordinated rooting routines. Trump met Kim, Kim met Moon,
and everybody was saying the crisis was averted. Experts however say it
was simply postponed, because the basis for the conflict in the region
persists. For all we know, officials in Seoul and Pyongyang are simply
waiting for a time when they could speak openly about their differences
without risking some rash decisions from the 45th US President.
US crackdown on Iran
Washington's warmongering rhetoric
shifted from Pyongyang to Tehran. The neocon dream team in the White
House flipped the finger at the world and pulled out of the nuclear deal
with Iran. As other signatories were scrambling to salvage it, the US
re-imposed economic sanctions that had been lifted under its terms. As
European governments were assuring their businesses that Iranian market
was still OK, the Americans were twisting the arms of the likes of
Airbus and SWIFT and succeeded in scaring them off.
Trump's war
Trump
is yet to honor the long tradition that says each US president has to
start at least one new war. He does seem determined to compensate
threefold in international trade. Washington exchanged tit-for-tat
tariff salvos with Beijing throughout the year, and neither side seems
willing to give up. Trade wars are not as easy to win as the US
President claimed once on Twitter. But at least he got an ostensibly new trade deal with Mexico and Canada to brag about.
Merkel wraps up political career after re-election
Last
year, veteran German leader Angela Merkel secured her fourth term as
chancellor. The victory was somewhat Pyrrhic, however. The right-wing
Alternative for Germany (AfD) party who had not won a single seat in
2013, jumped to become the third most represented party in the
Bundestag, and has gained ground in all German states. Their surge stems
to a large degree from Merkel's decision to keep doors open for
asylum-seekers, who came to Europe in their hundreds of thousands in
2015.
So this year after a bitter political crisis in summer, Frau
Bundeskanzlerin announced that the current term would be her last.
Merkel is set to retire in 2021 as one of Germany's three
longest-serving chancellors. And it will be without any doubt an end of
an era for the entire continent, where Germany under Merkel was an
unofficial leader.
Macron vies for EU leadership, gets Yellow Vests
As
Germany left the international limelight to deal with domestic
problems, France under Emmanuel Macron made a bid for the vacant
position. The French president became a leading voice in publicly
opposing Trump's nationalism and advocating European integration.
But this international agenda may be undermined by Macron's shrinking
popularity at home. His painful economic reforms, a scandal involving
his security aide, and occasional tone-dead statements have contributed
to growing resentment in France. The anti-Macron mood erupted by year's
end as the so-called Yellow Vests mass protest, which started as an
expression of contempt over a fuel price hike and became a violent riot
against the man at the helm. The presidency seems to have survived only
through small concessions and a strong police response.
Dictator-parsing president, black apartheid, Orthodox schism
In
Latin America, a crucial election in world's fifth-largest democracy
this year became symbolic for the continent's apparent turn away from
socialism. Jair Bolsonaro, Brazil's new president, is the latest world
leader who “speaks what he thinks” and thinks a lot of things
that could have sunk a politician's career in another country. He thinks
Brazil’s military dictators were wimps because they jailed opponents
instead of shooting them, for example. Whether he would translate the
inflammatory rhetoric into actual dictatorial policy is yet to be seen.
Jacob
Zuma, South Africa's president for a decade, resigned from office this
year, and his replacement brought the country to international headlines
for a very dubious reason. Cyril Ramaphosa wants to take land away from
white farmers and redistribute it in a way that would even out the ills
of colonial past. If he has his way, the white farmers won't even get
compensation. It's not clear how a modern injustice would cancel out a
historic injustice, but South Africa seems determined to try. The irony
that this happens in the country that fought and beat apartheid is
palpable.
Petro Poroshenko, the president of Ukraine, managed to trigger the
biggest schism in world Orthodoxy as part of his reelection campaign.
The territory of Ukraine had been under the jurisdiction of the Russian
Orthodox Church for centuries. Poroshenko managed to convince Patriarch
Bartholomew of Constantinople to challenge the status quo for the sake
of creating an independent Orthodox Church in Ukraine. The Moscow
patriarchy took this as basically an act of war and cut all diplomatic
and spiritual ties with Constantinople in response. The head of the
Russian Orthodox Church, Patriarch Kirill, has also warned that Kiev's
initiative that might see Orthodox religious communities diminished in
Ukraine and lead to violence.
(adapted from RT.com)